Who Will Win Euro 2020? A RunDown Of The Favourites
After its postponement last year Euro 2020 is almost here! Liam and the SRD team take a look at the favourites and give their insights into the question everybody is asking, "Who will win Euro 2020?"
Les Bleus are reigning world champions, have a solid squad and stable management (an achievement in its own right for France and the FFA!) and are deserved favourites. Whatever squad they settle on it will hail from the continent’s top clubs more so than any other nation. France have lost just twice in their last 19 tournament games. They have either won outright or been knocked out by the eventual champions in each of the last four major competitions and they are undoubtedly the best team around right now.
Last Time Out: An Extra Time defeat at the hands of Portugal in Paris saw them finish as Runners Up at Euro 2016.
One to Watch: N’golo Kante. France are spoilt for choice in most positions, but N’golo is the metronome at the heart of their midfield and makes them tick.
The Doubt: Mbappe has looked out of sorts lately, Giroud has barely played for Chelsea, Benzema is out of favour and Griezmann is suffering one of his worst seasons ever. It’s a real conundrum for Deschamps.
Will France win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – Rightfully favourites but not interested at 5/1. If any of their forwards find form they will be hard to beat.
Gaz – Definitely the correct favourites when you consider the talent in their squad. I don’t think there’s much value in their price given they have been drawn in the “Group Of Death” .
Enzo – Yes they are the deserved favourites but they are prone to the odd off-day. Not for me at that price.
The Three Lions have been amongst the favourites for the last half dozen international competitions, but they never seem to rise to the occasion. With home advantage, an all English Champions League final and potentially the UCL and Europa League having English champions, expectations are sky high. Can Gareth Southgate’s men break their Euros duck at Wembley? Being in the tough side of the draw they’ll need to be at their very best but they have got a talented squad and not many team will want to face them.
Last Time Out: A humbling Round of 16 defeat to Iceland that cost Roy Hodgson his job.
One to Watch: Phil Foden has thrived under Pep this season. With City playing endless variations of centre forwards or no forwards at all, the youngster has blossomed into one of the Premier League’s best goal scoring midfielders. It still remains to be seen if Southgate can get the best out of “The Stockport Messi” though.
The Doubt: It’s de ja vu all over again for England. They cruise through qualification and then crumble at the tournament proper. Its counterintuitive, but the tough draw might help England by limiting expectations.
Will England win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – Home advantage could be huge if they can make it to the final, but I expect another early exit (probably in the QF).
Gaz – I can definitely see why England are amongst the favourites, and if they click they have enough quality to trouble most opponents. Goalkeeper remains a worry and I’m still not sure Southgate knows who his best ‘keeper is. I see them making the semi-finals but coming undone by a defensive/goalkeeping howler.
Enzo – I wouldn’t begrudge England a win however I think this tournament has come a bit too soon for some of the players. It is undoubtedly a very talented squad but I predict a semi-final exit.
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) May 12, 2021
The Red Devils have as much talent at their disposal as any other nation, and have had so for a number of years. The problem has always been the whole is less than the sum of its parts. This time out their players have enjoyed club success like never before. Their squad includes winners of the Premier League, Serie A, FA Cup, La Liga and potentially the Champions League. This squad is very much the “Golden Generation” of Belgian football and time is starting to run out for them to enshrine their names in Belgian history.
Last Time Out: A second half implosion against Wales, that felt painfully unsurprising, ended their Euro 2016 hopes at the quarter-final stage.
One to Watch: Romelu Lukaku. The SRD favourite (AKA the cash cow) has never really hit the heights for Belgium, but having fired Inter to the scudetto he should be full of confidence.
The Doubt? If England have a tendency to bottle it, Belgium are the entire bottle factory. A squad brimming with talent that never quite seems to gel.
Will Belgium win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – Dark horses if you can call 3rd favourites that. Roberto Martinez’s side finished 3rd in the 2018 World Cup and add in unprecedented club success this year I think Belgium can go all the way.
Gaz – For me it’s make or break time for Belgium. The historic spine of their team is ageing and it won’t be long until the Red Devils need to re-build. For Mertens, Vertonghen and Vermaelen this could be their last major tournament, while Witzel and Alderweireld are entering the later stages of their international careers. A squad of this quality deserve a major tournament and I think this could be their year, with Lukaku firing them to victory and finally getting the recognition he deserves. The Belgians will be carrying my money!
Enzo – They have the talent but I think it will be another bottle job.
Brilliant goal by Lukaku for Belgium pic.twitter.com/U3WDsnkCXt
— Terje (@TerjeGooner) June 18, 2016
La Roja have been quietly going about their business lately, with just one defeat in their last 20 games. The most impressive of these was a resounding 6-0 win against Germany earlier this year. Luis Enrique’s side does not have the super stars we have grown accustomed to seeing line up for Spain, but that might be no harm at all. Expectations will be low in Spain given they are in a transition period, but that has the potential to make them very dangerous opponents.
Last Time Out: Another of this year’s favourites to have gone out early in 2016, Spain were comfortably dispatched by Italy in the Round of 16.
One to Watch: Ferran Torres scored a hattrick for Man City in May to remind everyone at home of his talents and Spain’s fortunes will be closely linked to his ability to replicate that form for the national team.
The Doubt? The demolition of Germany aside, Spain have not beaten a top tier team in years.
Will Spain win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – Comfortably better than the mediocre teams but Spain will struggle against the top sides. However, they are on the easier side of the draw and if things go to plan could find themselves facing England in the quarter final without getting out of third gear.
Gaz – If you’re looking to get value for your bet, Spain are the team for you as they are all but guaranteed to get to the quarter-final. I personally have my doubts as to whether they can go all the way despite having a good mix of youth and experience.
Enzo – This is not the Spain of old and I think they lack that little bit of oomph. Their style of play irritates me too so I will avoid.
Spain cutting through Germany like a hot knife through butter for Ferran Torres’ second goal of the evening pic.twitter.com/nahkta0jAS
— FootballJOE (@FootballJOE) November 17, 2020
Die Manschaft were the dominant team in global football for over a decade. However, that era is now well and truly over. Just five wins in their last 11 games, including a thrashing by Spain and record ending loss at home to North Macedonia has seen Germany knocked off their perch. The departure of Joachim Löw is confirmed for later this summer and it’s hard to see how his side can go far here.
Last Time Out: A semi-final loss to France in France was no shame at all.
One to Watch: Joachim Löw – he is in the unusual position of knowing he has lost his job and it will be interesting to see if he throws caution to the wind here.
The Doubt: Their squad is an unhappy mix of over the hill stars and unproven youngsters, and their recent form is not encouraging.
Will Germany win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – All eras end and generally in flames. Italy failed to get out of their group in 2010, as reigning World Cup winners. The same happened to Spain in 2014. Now its Germany’s turn. Not only do they not win this, I think they fail to get out of their group.
Gaz – As one of Football’s super powers it would be silly to totally write-off Germany’s chances. On their day they can beat anyone but I don’t see this squad having the consistency to win the Championship. A slow start could put paid to their chances very early on.
Enzo – Germany are at a Low ebb if you pardon the pun. At 7/1 I won’t be going anywhere near them but if they were 20/1 or higher I would back them just because they are the Germans.
Portugal are often underrated and it looks to be the same again this year. With just four losses in their last 44 games, the form of Fernando Santo’s side cannot be questioned. They boast a balanced mix of experience and youth, and the squad has no obvious gaps in it. They have the “group of death” to contend with, which isn’t ideal, but they have proven in recent years that they can grind out results against the top teams.
Last Time Out: Reigning European champions.
One to Watch: The temptation with Portugal is to paint a picture of a one man team dependent on Ronaldo. He was actually missing when they beat France last year and for me Bruno Fernandez is the key man in the middle. He has singlehandedly turned Man United around and could be player of the tournament here.
The Doubt: A tough group and a potentially tricky route through the knock out rounds.
Can Portugal Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – Portugal could go all the way here and with such a strong squad its strange to see them so far down the betting order.
Gaz – Portugal are definitely one of the major players. If they can navigate the group stages they have a serious chance. Nobody will want to play them in the knockout stages given their combination of a solid defence and significant attacking threat. Reigning European Champions and Nations League winners, they’ve proved they can close out tournaments. With that in mind the 15/2 on offer is very attractive!
Enzo – I like the team and I like the price. Whether they will do it or not is another matter but they should give you a decent run for your money so I will throw a few quid on them.
The Azzurri have been flying somewhat beneath the radar recently. They have not lost a game in nearly 3 years and are unbeaten in 25 outings. In a throwback to the traditional defensive Italian style of old, they have conceded just a single goal in over 900 minutes of football, and are enjoying a run of six consecutive clean sheets. Roberto Mancini just had his contract extended to 2026 so expectations must be high within the FIGC.
Last Time Out: A Quarter Final loss on penalties to Germany was no disgrace, and wins against Spain and Belgium along the way were impressive.
One to Watch: Bonucci & Chiellini. The veteran centre backs have started all of Italy’s big games lately and will be key to keeping that defensive record intact.
The Doubt: In a quirk of scheduling fate, Italy have played Poland, the Netherlands and Bosnia a combined 10 times in the last 3 years, and the rest of their form is against fairly low key opposition. Italy have impressed, don’t get me wrong, but the short list of teams played is an asterix for sure.
Will Italy win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – I’ve backed Italy to win this outright. They have a very winnable group, and its possible Italy will not meet a top tier opponent until the semi finals. Defences win titles and there isn’t a better one in Europe right now.
Gaz – The Italians definitely come in to the tournament under the radar. I’m not sure I can see them winning the competition outright, but they will surely go deep into the knockout stages. I think their lack of firepower could cost them late on.
Enzo – My heart says yes but my head says no. Like Gaz, I think the lack of a consistent goal threat will be their downfall. Belotti has had a poor season by his standards, Ciro Immobile has never replicated his club form for La Nazionale and Insigne has a habit of going missing in big games. I will be backing them e/w just in case though.
— Juventus Fight Club (@Salah_Almutairi) July 2, 2016
Best of the Rest >10/1
Wins over Germany and England in 2019 seemed to signal a return to glory for De Oranjes but they never kicked on from there. Big wins against minnows has put a gloss on things lately but I just can’t see it happening for them. The draw has been kind though, so if the Netherlands can win their group then things will open up.
The once great hope for this golden generation of Croatians is fading fast. They have lost six games since September and their players are beginning to look jaded, even at club level. Zlatko Dalić has his work cut out for him.
The recent defeat of the Netherlands showed that Turkey have the ability to mix it with the big boys, and they look set to be the entertainers of the tournament. The squad doesn’t have many household names but they play a lovely brand of attacking football. Their last seven games have seen 28 goals scored so I wouldn’t advise backing the under goals markets in their games. Speaking of unders, Leicester’s Cengiz Under is a player to watch.
Poland have become something of a one man band in recent years, with the Lewandowski goal machine carrying them from tournament to tournament. He’s past his best now, it seems, and is struggling with injuries and form.
Wales made the semi-finals of Euro 2016 so can’t be fully discounted. That said, the squad was in it’s prime then and is now showing signs of ageing. They still have some quality players but most of their hopes rest on the shoulders of Gareth Bale. The Ryan Giggs saga hasn’t helped the build up to the tournament and while they will cause teams problems, it’s hard to see them advancing past the Group stages.
No chance of winning the tournament but it’s great to see the Scots here. They’ll bring a bucket load of passion and could be a thorn in England’s side in the Group stages.
Can an outsider win Euro 2020? The SRD View!
LB – It’s hard to see anyone outside of the top 8 or 10 teams making much of an impact at the later stages, but Croatia have the best chance based on talent alone.
Gaz– The Netherlands definitely have the talent to compete at this level as was proven by them reaching the Nations League Final. That said, their recent form hasn’t been great and there doesn’t look much value in the 12/1 on offer. If they drifted to 16/1 or bigger I’d be tempted by a cover bet on them.
Enzo – I actually quite like the Dutch! Even though the squad is not as talented as it was in previous years the Oranjes always seem to overperform at big tournaments but 12/1 is a bit short for me. If Van Dijk was available I would consider it. Of the rank outsiders I think Turkey have a chance of doing well.
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