The Live Action Acca: Tune In & Win!

With European Club Football returning after the International break, Friday night is packed with action and we have a great night of gambling in store.

We Bet – You Win

To celebrate the growing success of our BetAlong stream we have added a new section called we bet – you win. Each week we will put €10 on the Live Action Acca and if the bet wins we will give the money (€70) to one of the most engaged viewers of our livestream, either on YoutubeFacebook or Twitter.

Augsburg v Bayern Munich – Fri 19 Nov 19:30 GMT – Slatts

Augsburg (16th) host Munich (1st) in the Bundesliga, with the champions currently (and unsurprisingly) priced at 1/7 for the win. I love betting on games like this, where there is a significant disparity between the sides and the away team is favourite. Value can be found in several markets, and the stand-out angle here is for both teams to score.

Augsburg have managed 16 goals in their last 10 home games, scoring in 8 of those fixtures. They have 2 wins and a draw in their last 3 games, showing some decent home form, and scoring in each of those games (6 goals in total). Having said that, getting a result against Munich feels unlikely. They have managed just 2 draws and 10 defeats in the last 12 head-to-heads. However, they certainly have the capacity to get on the scoresheet.

Munich’s stats would certainly back this up. Their last 4 away games have ended  5-2, 5-1, 3-1 and 4-1, highlighting that while they concede on the road, they overwhelmingly outscore their opponents. Nine of their last 10 league road games have seen both sides scoring (7W 2D 1L), with Munich finding the back of the net in all 10. Given the last game between these finished 5-2 to Munich, there is no reason to expect this trend of BTTS victories coming to an end.

Munich can be backed at 6/5 to win with both teams scoring, which is a huge uptick from the 1/7 for the straight win, generous considering the frequency of this result.

 

QPR v Luton -Fri 19 Nov 19:45 GMT – Gaz

This looks like a feisty clash and I’m really looking forward to it. While it isn’t a derby, these sides aren’t too far away from each other and both sets of fans know how to make their presence felt. On the pitch the teams look fairly closely matched with only two points separating them in the table. QPR (6th) will probably be disappointed with their points tally thus far but they are still in decent form. They have only lost once at home this season and after playing away in their two most recent games, they’ll be looking to kick on as we enter the busy Christmas period.

The worry for the R’s is their lack of goals in recent weeks. At the start of the season they were scoring for fun but it’s now seven games in all competitions since they netted more than a single goal.

Luton (11th) are a mixed bag and on their day are a match for most sides in this division, with the exception of the top three. It’s very much a case of which team shows up though which makes them unpredictable. The Hatters had a purple patch for most of October going on a five game unbeaten run. That good form seems to have come to an end though and they enter this match after losing two of their last three. They’re a far better side at Kenilworth Road as their away record shows (W2, D3, L3).

My bet here is a home win at odds of 5/4. QPR have a far better squad in my opinion and if they can start to convert their chances I can see them running out comfortable winners. Although the recent stats don’t back it up, I’m also tempted by QPR win & Over 2.5 Goals at 12/5. With Lydon Dykes, Andre Gray and Charlie Austin in the QPR ranks, they certainly have the firepower to get goals. Loftus Road will be rocking and that emotion has to bleed out onto the pitch. Hopefully there’s an early goal and we see fireworks.

 

Mechelen v Club Brugge – Fri 19 Nov 19:45 GMT – LB

These two teams are becoming regulars on the Live Action Acca and there are plenty of betting angles for this game. Both teams are in solid form, scoring plenty and conceding regularly. Brugge are 3rd in the Belgian First Division A and travel to Mechelen to take on KV, who are four points behind them in 5th. Despite their position, Mechelen could see themselves drop out of the playoff spots if results go against them this weekend. They will be keen to get back to winning ways after a shock loss to Sint-Truiden last time out.

That loss is Mechelen’s first reversal since September and I’m confident it was nothing more than an off day. That being said, Club Brugge remain the strongest squad in Belgium and it is rarely wise to back against them.

Goals here seems the safest bet. Over 2.5 goals is available at 4/6, as is BTTS, and the combination of these two markets is available at evens with Bet365. Mechelen have scored in seven of their last eight league games, and Brugge have scored in all 14 FDA games this term.

As tempted as I am to take the higher price, I will play it safe with Both Teams To Score. Despite Mechelen being involved in plenty of high scoring games, no team has scored more than a single goal in Brugge’s games versus the top seven sides.

If I had to back something in the results market a score draw looks the most value at 4/1. Six of Club’s fourteen league games this season have ended as a score draw and it looks over priced.

SRD Selections:

Augsburg v Bayern Munich: Munich To Win & BTTS @ 6/5

QPR v Luton: QPR To Win @ 5/4

Mechelen v Club Brugge: BTTS @ 4/6

The above in a treble at 7/1

Make sure to watch these bets live on our BetAlong, either on YoutubeFacebook or Twitter.