The Live Action Acca: Goals On The Menu In This 45/1 Treble
A long odds treble is on the cards this week as the lads are back with a monster acca for the Friday football from The Championship, Bundesliga and Belgian First Division.
We Bet – You Win
To celebrate the growing success of our BetAlong stream we have added a new section called we bet – you win. Each week we will put €10 on the Live Action Acca and if the bet wins we will give the money (€450) to one of the most engaged viewers of our livestream, either on Youtube, Facebook or Twitter.
Union Berlin v RB Leipzig – Fri 19 Nov 19:30 GMT – Slatts
Union Berlin (6th) host RB Leipzig (8th) in what looks like a close encounter in the Bundesliga, though the bookies don’t see it that way. Union are 3/1 underdogs here and it’s hard to understand how they can be such wide odds.
The hosts have only lost one home Bundesliga game in 23 attempts, dating back to September 2020. That defeat came against Bayern Munich, meaning only the league champions have won here in over a year.
Leipzig surprised a few people last season, pushing Munich for much of the season and ultimately finishing second. They have not lived up to that standard this term however, and their away form has been particularly poor (W0 D3 L3). If you include their final 3 away games last season, they have drawn 3 and lost 6 in their last 9 road games.
In additional to some poor away form, Leipzig travel with a number of injuries, and something of a Covid crisis in the camp. All in all, it will take a significant turnaround for Leipzig to leave Berlin with anything, yet somehow they are odds on (10/11) for the win. Union Berlin won this fixture 2-1 last season when Leipzig were in better form, and were not missing 6+ players from their squad.
A safe bet here would be Berlin double chance, giving you the home win or draw at odds of 5/6. Personally though I can’t pass on the straight win, 3/1 for the Union Berlin to win seems like an incorrect price and it’s the selection here.
Sint-Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise – Fri 03rd Dec 19:45 GMT – LB
This is basically the same bet as last week. I fancied Union to come out on top of a high scoring contest versus OHL. The goals came but unfortunately Leuven were too clinical on the night and the Royals lost 1-3. The home side had plenty of chances but just couldn’t find their rhythm. This week the league leaders again play the Friday night slot and I think they should be too good for Sint-Truiden.
Despite the loss last time out, Union are still top of the form table. They are making light work of the Belgian FDA with 11 wins from 16 league games, with 8 wins in the last eleven. They are still averaging over 2.5 goals per game, the highest in the division by some distance.
Sint-Truiden are comfortably mid-table and their recent form could not be any more middle of the road (3W 2D 3L). Despite scoring the second fewest goals in the division, De Kanaries have still managed to find the back of the net in all but three games. They have conceded in eight of eight home games so far, scoring in seven of those.
Just like last week, Union are a stingy 1/3 to win, and the goals markets are not much better. However an away wing with BTTS is 9/4 and looks a solid bet for any acca. Sint-Truiden will almost certainly be outclassed over the course of the game but I expect them to give it a go and at least register a score.
Fulham v AFC Bournemouth – Fri 03rd Dec 19:45 GMT – Gaz
I won’t be able to make the stream on Friday and honestly I’m gutted to be missing it. This game looks like a cracker and there are so many story lines. Scott Parker returns to Craven Cottage for the first time since leaving Fulham in the summer. Parker did a great job when at the helm and it will be interesting to see the reception he gets. The main story though is obviously that this is a top of the table six-pointer. Bournemouth led the way from early on and opened up a gap by going unbeaten in the league until the end of October. There has been a recent wobble and their form over the last five matches (W1, D2, L2) doesn’t scream Championship winners. The Cherries do have excuses, particularly Jefferson Lerma’s silly sending off last Saturday when his side were cruising (winning 2-0 and ultimately drawing 2-2).
This match also sees the two of the top three scorers in the league face-off. Aleksander Mitrovic has been imperious so far and his goal tally stands at 21 which is incredible at this stage of the season. The Serbian is on track to break all sorts of records and is an obvious goal scoring angle. There was nearly war in SRD HQ in mid-week as Slatts tried to move in on my patch by selecting Mitrovic anytime as his bet. Dominic Solanke is third in the goal scoring charts (18 goals) and he was my selection ante post for this market (18/1). I haven’t given up hope that Solanke can challenge Mitrovic and he looks another lively play at 13/5 anytime in this match.
My bet here is the draw and both teams to score at 7/2. I think that’s a cracking price considering how closely matched these sides are. They both come into the game having drawn their last two and although they’re both attacking minded, I think they’ll be looking to avoid defeat at all costs. If Bournemouth have an Achilles heel it’s their defensive record, particularly recently. I can’t see them keeping a clean sheet against this Fulham side.
Union Berlin to win @ 3/1
Union Saint-Gilloise to win & BTTS @ 9/4
Fulham v Bournemouth draw @ 13/5
The above in a treble at 45/1