Thanksgiving Bet Builder: Raiders At Cowboys

Two teams with recent struggles meet in the AT&T Stadium hoping to get back to winning ways.

As recently as a couple of weeks ago this game looked to be the pick of the Thanksgiving slate. It was originally billed as an exciting contest between two play-off contenders. Now we are hoping for at least one of these two to arrest an ugly decline. The Cowboys and Raiders have just one combined win in November and are 1-5 ATS.

Raiders

Raiders’ fans are no strangers to season meltdowns. This year, the seemingly relentless off field drama has finally caught up with Las Vegas. Three losses on the bounce have put their playoff hopes at serious risk and they need to start winning soon if they have any hope of making it to the postseason.

Although there are not many injuries to worry about, the trajectory of this team looks all wrong. A close, one-score loss in New York is one thing, but the two defeats since have been humbling. The Raiders have just one 3rd down conversion in their last 15 attempts, stretching back to the Kansas City game. On top of that, they are giving away too many penalties (77 yards at the weekend) and concede too easily (96 points in their last three games).

Cowboys

There is no escaping that the Cowboys have hit a bump in the road. Two losses in three does not make for pretty reading, especially as Sunday was the first time Dak and Co. have failed to find the endzone this season. That being said, it still looks like a bump and nothing more serious. The Chiefs seem to be on the up again, and that loss might not look too bad come the end of the year. Dallas’ recent wins against the Patriots and Vikings have aged well too. I am confident the Cowboys are a better team than the Raiders, and that their troubles do not run quite so deep.

The concern for the Cowboys this week is injuries. Amari Cooper has tested positive for Covid-19, CeeDee Lamb is undergoing concussion protocols and Ezekiel Elliott is playing through a minor knee injury.

Verdict:

The Cowboys have an impressive record at the AT&T Stadium. Aside from the mess against the Broncos, their home games this season have been a walk in the park (wins by 20pt, 8pt, 14pt and 40pt). That is due in no small part to their surprisingly potent defense. Dallas are ranked 10th overall for points allowed and are no. 5 in terms of takeaways. Even in the defeat against the Chiefs they were solid without the ball.

The Cowboys fought back well in both recent defeats (after awful starts) and that stands in stark contrast to the flat, spiritless defeats for Las Vegas.

Key Man:

Tony Pollard impressed last week, despite the Cowboy’s offence misfiring. He averaged over 7 yards per carry (7 for 50 yards) and looks more than capable to deputise if Zeke is banged up. His scoring record is not great, but I expect he will get plenty of opportunities.

 

SRD Selections:

Cowboys -7

Over 51 points

Tony Pollard Anytime TD

Bet Builder 15/2