NFL Touchdown Tips: Chase Profit With These Player Props
Gaz walks us through his best player prop bets for Week 6 of the NFL season and fancies this 31/1 treble to land.
Last week’s bet got off to the prefect start with Kyle Pitts bagging a touchdown in the London game. It was great to be in the stadium to cheer that leg of the treble on. Unfortunately AJ Green couldn’t get the job done to land the big money, but we still made a small profit. I’m at the second London game tomorrow where the Jaguars take on the Dolphins and I had hoped to include a selection from that game. I’ve looked long and hard and all of the player props and can’t see one that sticks out as value. I’ll take that as a sign and focus on the other games instead.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Detroit Lions
I fear that I sound like a broken record but once again Ja’Marr Chase sticks out as a great bet. Chase has now featured in this column on three occasions and each time has landed the odds. He’s taken to the NFL like a duck to water but surprisingly is going under the radar with some bookmakers. The rookie WR has struck up a great rapport with QB Joe Burrow and has scored 5 TD’s through the first five games. Up against a Lions’ defense that struggles against the pass, and that concede over 27 points per game on average, this looks like a great opportunity for Chase to continue his fast start to the season.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
If you’ve tuned into either of our last two BetAlong Livestreams you will have heard me discuss this angle. For those who haven’t been watching (where have you been!), the discussion point has centered around the connection Colts QB Carson Wentz has been building with his TE Mo Alie-Cox. At the beginning of the season Alie-Cox was a pretty non existent part of the Colts offense, but in recent weeks he’s been getting more looks. He had a break out game two weeks ago against the Dolphins when scoring a brace of TD’s, and had a season high target rate last week against the Ravens.
When Wentz was at the Eagles he had a great connection with his tight ends, Zach Ertz in particular. He used Ertz as a safety net and, while I don’t think Alie-Cox is at the same level as Ertz, I can see similarities emerging. The Colts face a struggling Texans defense (ranked 26th in total defense) on Sunday and this looks an ideal opportunity for Alie-Cox to bag another TD. At 9/2 anytime it looks superb value.
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers
The final leg of the treble comes in the late game where a depleted Seahawks side travel to Pittsburgh to face a struggling Steelers side. The big news in the past week has been the injury to QB Russel Wilson and you can’t underestimate the impact that may have on the Seahawks. Geno Smith will deputise in Wilson’s absence and faces a baptism of fire. Without the ball the Seahawks have been awful and they’re currently ranked last in the NFL in total defense. They’ve been particularly bad against the pass giving up an average of 305.6 yards per game through the air.
With the above in mind it’ll be no surprise I’m plugging for a Steelers WR as the bet here. That’s not to say all has been rosy in Pittsburgh through the first five games, far from it. Big Ben has looked his age and the season ending injury to JuJu Smith-Schuster isn’t great news. The Steelers still have the potential to be explosive and if they’re ever going to live up to that potential it’ll be this week. Chase Claypool is the leading receiver for Pittsburgh and he looks value to land a TD at odds of 15/8.
Texans @ Colts – Mo Alie-Cox Anytime TD (9/2 William Hill)
Bengals @ Lions – Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD (6/4 Bet365)
Seahawks @ Steelers – Chase Claypool Anytime TD (15/8 Bet365)
Above in a Treble (31/1 Bet 365)