Haydock Tips: Irish Eyes Smiling When This 16/1 Shot Lands

There's a super Saturday of action on ITV Racing and Gaz shares his best bets including a long odds winner, a forecast and a 10/1 double.

As we near the end of November the powerhouse stables across the UK and Ireland are getting ready to unleash their superstars. The top quality action will come thick and fast from here on in. There are meetings at Ascot, Huntingdon and Gowran Park but it’s Haydock that will be the focus of our attention on Saturday afternoon.

Fourth Betfair For Bristol?

The feature race of the day at Haydock is the Grade 1 Betfair Chase (15:00) and this looks a top quality renewal. It’s great to see the top Irish and English yards mixing it at this early stage of the season. There’s only one place to start when looking at this race and that’s with Bristol De Mai. This flashy grey loves this race and this venue and I’m sure the roof would come off the Haydock grandstand if he were able to land his fourth Betfair Chase in five years. It’s been unseasonably warm in the UK lately and there hasn’t been massive amounts of rain about, meaning the ground on Saturday will be very different to his previous triumphs. For that reason I don’t think he’ll win.

I mentioned on our BetAlong that I think the Paul Nicholls trained Next Destination was a big price at 7/1. This horse had some top level hurdles form but faced a significant amount of time sidelined due to injury. He was eased back into action last year and still ran with credit. Now that he’s fully sound I think he’ll be tuned up for this and I really rate his chances. The Nicholls stable are in good form with a 25% win rate over the last 14 days. BoyleSports are running an offer where punters receive money back as a free bet if your horse finishes second to the SP fav. If you have a BoyleSports account I’d recommend using that concession and backing Next Destination.

My main bet in this race will be A Plus Tard. This horse has some great form including when second in last year’s Gold Cup. Prior to that he won the Savills Chase at Leopardstown and given he’s only 7 he could still be improving. The ground won’t be an issue and he’s guaranteed to stay. Rachael Blackmore could easily have stayed in Ireland with a full book of rides (including Bob Olinger) but she’s come here and that speaks volumes. I try not to tip favourites in this column but there looks to be value in the 13/8 on offer.

Doctor To Be A Hero

The Betfair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (14:25) looks a very competitive race but there’s one that caught my eye at a big price. That horse is the Charles Byrne trained Doctor Duffy who is currently available at 16/1. This horse hasn’t won in a while but he’s still been running some fairly consistent races. His hurdles mark is considerably below his chase mark and he should run a big race. Byrne landed a big race at Cheltenham last week and I don’t think he’d be sending Doctor Duffy here if he didn’t think he could win. Of his rivals I would fear the JP McManus pair (Didtheyleaveuoutto & Flight Deck) most but at 16/1, with some firms paying 6 places, I’m happy to trust the doctor.

Lost Or Found?

While the card at Haydock will have most of my attention I’ll definitely be taking in the Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (14:05) at Ascot. This looks a cracker with some up and coming horses taking on old champions on a retrieval mission. On recent form the bet here would probably be Dashel Drasher who loves it at this venue. He’s 4 from 4 at Ascot and put in a career best performance when last seen in February when landing the Betfair Ascot Chase. While that’s good form and difficult to knock, I’m against him here. I’m tempted by Defi Du Seuil but I fear it could be heart over head. If you’ve followed SportsRunDown for sometime you’ll know this horse has landed us many a bet. He definitely has the class to win this but his recent runs have been very much below par.

The one for me here in the Colin Tizzard trained Lostintranslation. This horse had a terrible end to last season, running some absolute stinkers. In truth though the whole Tizzard stable was out of form then and there was definitely a bug (or something to that effect) in the stable. Too many good horses ran badly for there not to be something amiss. The Tizzard’s look to be back with a bang this season and are running a 22% strike rate over the last 14 days. Lostintranslation’s form ties in closely with Defi Du Seuil but in my mind he has less to prove. If he can be anywhere near his best on Saturday I expect him to win.

SRD Selections

Ascot 14:05 – Lostintranslation (10/3) Win

Haydock 14:25 – Doctor Duffy (16/1) Each Way (William Hill Paying 6 Places)

Haydock 15:00 – A Plus Tard (13/8) Win

Haydock 15:00 – A Plus Tard/Next Destination F/Cast

Lostintranslation & A Plus Tard Double (10/1)