Giving Thanks For A Feast Of NFL

After landing a 6/1 treble last Sunday Bassett is attacking this weeks Thanksgiving games with renewed optimism.

No bettor should overact to loses, or get too high with wins but nevertheless it was great to land a solid treble last Sunday. There was never really much doubt and the bet was home and hosed by half time of the late games. That win puts this column back in profit for the season and means we can attack the Thanksgiving matches with additional confidence and vigor.  Thanksgiving games can be trickier to predict but its hard not to be bullish on a couple of the match-ups this year.

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions

The Chicago Bears managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory on Sunday allowing the Ravens a go ahead touchdown in the last minute. It was a match short on attacking highlights but high on good defense. If the Bears can repeat that defensive performance the Lions will have a tough task making inroads.

Jared Goff should return for the Lions and that would normally be viewed a positive given they’ve been relying on Tim Boyle as quarterback. There are few words for how poor Boyle is and the fact he is a backup NFL quarterback is astonishing in itself. That said, there are rumours swirling around the NFL that Goff and offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn have had a bust up and, if that’s true, it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out on the field. No matter who starts at QB, the Bears will likely look to stack the box and ask the Lions to beat them in the air.

The Chicago Bears -3 (10/11) is my headline selection even if there are reasons to temper the confidence. Andy Dalton will start in place of the injured Justin Fields but the veteran seemed to find something with Darnell Mooney on Sunday and that could yield results. The wide receiver got great separation and showed he could step up with Allen Robinson banged up. It wont be a high scoring thriller but the Bears defense could have a Thanksgiving feast and keep the wolves from head coach Matt Nagy’s door, for another week at least.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys

Next up is a game that everyone would have been salivating over only three weeks ago when both these teams were riding a crest of a wave. Fast forward to the present day and you have a rudderless Las Vegas Raiders who’ve lost three games on the spin. Their defense has been patchy all season but the offense under Derek Carr was a real threat. That threat has subsided dramatically over the last few weeks with Carr struggling behind a suspect O Line and RB Josh Jacobs nowhere near his best. All of this means they head to Dallas ripe for the taking.

For that scenario to play out you need Dallas to be on form from an attacking perspcetive. Their devastating offense has plateaued dramatically in recent weeks and it’s now further depleted. Amari Cooper is absent due to Covid and CeeDee Lamb looks set to miss out due to concussion protocol. The only saving grace is Tony Pollards continued good form (dovetailing with Zeke Elliott) in the backfield. I think the Cowboys will win this game but I anticipate they’ll be pushed incredibly close given both teams are in something of a rut and the win is paramount. With a similar philosophy successfully applied last week I’m taking the Raiders +7.5 points (10/11).

Buffalo Bills @ New Orleans Saints

Last but by no means least, the curtain is brought down on Thanksgiving in the New Orleans Superdome, as the Saints welcome the stuttering Buffalo Bills to town. New Orleans have suffered two consecutive defeats to leave their playoff hopes hanging in the balance. Even with Trevor Siemian deputizing for Jameis Winston they’ve continued to score points but surprisingly their much vaunted defense has really struggled to keep a lid on the opposition. With Alvin Kamara unlikely to recover from his knee problem they could be forced to throw the ball more than Sean Payton would like.

The Buffalo Bills have looked a shadow of the team that went to Kansas City only weeks ago and laid down a marker with a barnstorming win. They are struggling on offense despite having Josh Allen and a pretty decent receiving corps. Their running game is effectively non-existent and that’s probably their Achilles’ heel

All in all I cannot decide on the game outcome with the handicap having the Bills as 5.5 point favourites. It’s a tough one to call and the best bet looks to be in the game points market. The Bills will enjoy the Superdome conditions and it should be a riveting end to Thursday’s slate with a dingdong battle seeing over 46 points (10/11).

SRD Selections

Bears @ Lions – Bears -3.5

Raiders @ Cowboys – Raiders +7.5

Bills @ Saints – Over 46 points

Above in a Treble 6/1