EFL Tips: R You Not Entertained
Gaz is back with his best bets for the English Football League and he thinks QPR can lead the way to landing this 19/1 shot.
It feels like I’ve been knocking on the door for the last couple of weeks. With a little bit of luck I feel both last Saturday’s bet, and the mid-week treble could have landed. While it’s frustrating in one way, it’s good to know that the analysis is on the right track. Hopefully there’s a change of luck this week.
QPR v Preston – Sat 2nd Oct 15:00 BST
Regular readers of SportsRunDown will know that QPR are a team that I’m following closely. I tipped Rangers to finish in the Top 6 and I’m still pretty confident in that bet. On the face of it it might seem strange to be tipping a team that have lost three of their last four games, but I think there have been excuses.
That run of games has seen The R’s face two of the best teams in the league (West Brom & Bournemouth) and in each of those games they lost by a solitary goal. The other defeat was a home loss at the hands of Bristol City, a game QPR dominated and ended up being hit with a sucker punch in the 90th minute. The two nil victory over Birmingham showed the squad are still in good form and I think they’ll make it back-to back wins on Saturday.
Preston haven’t lost in seven league games which reads very well. Only two of those matches ended in victory for North End and they’ve drawn five in a row. They won’t be pushovers in this match but I think QPR will have too much attacking threat and I can’t turn down the 21/20 on offer for a home win.
Coventry v Fulham – Sat 2nd Oct 12:30 BST
Coventry featured on our Live Stream last week and landed an in-play bet with ease. They followed up that three nil victory by losing five nil versus Luton in mid-week. Those two results really sum-up Coventry’s season. At the Ricoh Arena they’re a pretty good team but away from home they’re fairly toxic. That said, I think their home form could take a hit this weekend when they host Fulham.
The Cottagers had a bit of a wobble in recent weeks losing at home to Reading and then only drawing last weekend versus Bristol City. They got back on track in mid-week though, beating Swansea in style (3-0). Importantly for Marco Silva’s team they have got Aleksander Mitrovic back enjoying his football and that is paying dividends. Mitrovic bagged a hat-trick against Swansea and that brings his total to 10 goals thus far.
My angle here is three-fold. Firstly Fulham know that they need to win to keep tabs with both Bournemouth and West Brom who are setting a ferocious pace at the top of the Championship table. Secondly, the last thing a team needs after conceding five in their last game is to face the leagues top scorer. Lastly, this game features two in-form strikers in the shape of Mitrovic and Victor Gyokeres. I see this game as being a bit of a shootout and I think Fulham will come out of top. With that in mind Fulham and over 2.5 goals is the bet.
Bolton v Shrewsbury – Sat 2nd Oct 15:00 BST
Bolton ended a run of back-to-back defeats in style in mid-week when beating Charlton by four goals to one. That victory keeps The Trotters in touch with the teams at the top of League One but they need to keep winning. Home form is an issue that needs rectifying. Wanderers have only won one of their four games at the University Of Bolton Stadium.
This weekend looks like an ideal opportunity to get their home form back on track. They welcome Shrewsbury who have yet to win on the road in five games. Not only have The Shrews not won, they’ve only scored once in those away games. With that in mind it’s hard to see past a Bolton victory at 3/4.
Exeter v Walsall – Sat 2nd Oct 15:00 BST
Exeter (6th) have featured in this column on two occasions this season. Both times they have been at home and both times they have won. Don’t worry, I’m not just plugging for them based on the fact that they’re good at home, although that’s an obvious advantage. The Grecians are unbeaten in their last seven league games. In fact they’ve only lost one game in the league so far. The problem for Exeter has been too many draws, but they should take all three points on Saturday. Walsall (22nd) are yet to win away from home and the Saddlers have lost their last two games. It’s hard to see them causing an upset at St. James’ Park.
QPR v Preston – QPR Win (21/20)
Coventry v Fulham – Fulham Win & Over 2.5 Goals (21/10)
Bolton v Shrewsbury – Bolton Win (3/4)
Exeter v Walsall – Exeter Win (4/5)
Above in an accumulator (19/1)