EFL Tips: Lions To Lead The Way

Gaz is back with his best bets for the weekends English Football League action and fancies the Lions to roar at the Den.

The international break is finally over and that means a full slate of English Football League action. I’m hoping to start the weekend with a bang by landing our betalong treble, but it wouldn’t be Saturday without an EFL acca.

Millwall v Luton

Millwall were getting a reputation as draw specialists having shared the spoils in six of their eleven games this season. They look to have turned the corner recently having won back-to-back games before the international window. Those wins bring the Lions’ unbeaten run to seven games and they look a good bet to extend that on Saturday. Luton are a far better team at Kenilworth Road than away from home. They’ve only won once on the road this season and face a tough task at The Den. The bet here looks to be a home win at odds of 13/10.

Swindon v Rochdale

Swindon (3rd) are well in the League Two promotion battle. They enter this game having won their last two league outings. Those wins extend their unbeaten run to four games and the Robins look to be building momentum. The negative for Swindon has been their home form, and that is a slight concern. They’ve only managed one win in their five home games so far this season, but they have a good chance to fix that on Saturday.

Rochdale (18th) have a similar problem to Swindon in that their away record is much better than their home record. Most of that success occurred earlier in the season, however, and recent results have been poor. The Dale have lost their last three league games (five in all competitions). With that in mind the 21/20 available for a home win looks too good to pass up.

Port Vale v Barrow

Port Vale featured in last week’s accumulator and their game against Sutton turned into a goal-fest. Luckily the suggested bet was both teams to score and that walked in early in the first half. I highlighted in the write up that Vale had been on a great run of form (winning their last four league games). While they lost last week (4-3) I don’t think there’s much shame in that as Sutton are a decent team. I expect Vale to bounce back to winning ways on Saturday.

Barrow aren’t on a bad run of form themselves and are unbeaten in their last four league games (W2, D2, L0).  That said, they lack the firepower to keep up with a Port Vale strike team that have netted three goals in each of their last two matches. With that in mind I’m taking Vale to win at odds of 11/10.

Exeter v Newport County

I’ve mentioned numerous times in this column that Exeter are a great bet at home. The Grecians record at St. James’ Park in recent years speaks for itself, and I was tempted to include a home win as part of this bet. On recent form though, it’s hard to back that up and instead I’m going to play it safe with both teams to score at 9/10. Exeter’s last three league games (four in all competitions) have ended in score draws and that trend looks set to continue.

Newport are a good side on a decent run of form, picking up seven points from a possible twelve over the last four games. County have scored in all but one of their away games this season with both teams scoring in their last two outings.

SRD Selections

Millwall v Luton – Millwall Win (13/10)

Swindon v Rochdale – Swindon Win (21/20)

Port Vale v Barrow – Port Vale Win (11/10)

Exeter v Newport – Both Teams To Score (9/10)

Above in an accumulator (18/1)