EFL Tips: Home Comforts In This 9/1 EFL Treble
Despite the international break Gaz finds plenty of EFL betting value with some home wins in League Two
The International window means that there are no Championship fixtures and a limited League One schedule this weekend. There still looks to be some value about though, particularly in League 2.
Newport County v Bradford
A solitary point separates these two sides in the league. Bradford (8th) had a great start to the season and were undefeated in the opening four games (W3, D1, L0). Their form since then hasn’t been great (W1, D2, L3) and they picked up their first win in six league outings last week at home to Rochdale. That win could inspire some confidence but they still look like a team on the slide to me.
Newport are a consistent outfit and I see a lot of value in the 7/4 on offer for a home win. The Exiles had a tough start to the season with their first four league games being away from home. They still managed to pick up some decent results, but there’s no doubt in my mind they are a better team at Rodney Parade. They’ve won three of their four home games so far and I’m taking them to make it four from five on Saturday.
Sutton United v Port Vale
Sutton are one of the form teams in the division having won four of their last five games. I have to admit I had massively under-rated Sutton at the start of the season but they’ve impressed me nearly every week. They’re a tough team to score against ans since they have reduced the focus on defense they’ve started to score plenty themselves. If you’re looking for a bet in the win market in this games, a home win at 13/8 looks like decent value.
My preference is to go with goals though, particularly both teams to score at 10/11. Sutton’s frugality in terms of conceding does concern me but they’re playing a Port Vale side in red hot form (won four of last five also). Last week’s five-goal- thriller (3-2) at home to Leyton Orient shows that games involving the Valiants can be very entertaining. Vale were losing by two goals to one entering the 90th minute, but scored twice in stoppage time and bagged all three points. These are two decent sides, who both pose an attacking threat and I can see goals aplenty.
Mansfield v Oldham
Even at this early stage of the season this game is a relegation six-pointer. Both of these sides have been in toxic form and will be desperate for a win. Mansfield started the season positively, winning their opening two league games, but since then things have been bleak. In their last eight games they’ve only managed to accumulate three points (W0, D3, L5). It’s hard to put a positive spin on that but they have looked a slightly better side at home.
Oldham have lost seven league games this season (W2, D1, L7) and have two main problems. The first is they concede a lot, the second being they struggle to score. If you’re new to football, that isn’t a good combination. A positive for the Latics is that both their wins this season have come away from home.
I’m siding with Mansfield in this one, purely as I think they pose a better attacking threat. The price of evens looks about right and that rounds out our treble.
Newport County v Bradford – Newport Win (17/10)
Sutton United v Port Vale – Both Teams To Score (10/11)
Mansfield v Oldham – Mansfield (Evens)
Above in a Treble (9/1)