EFL Tips: Get On The Goals Glut
There's a full mid-week schedule of EFL action and Gaz has picked this 12/1 accumulator where goals are the order of the day.
We are treated to another mid-week EFL schedule over the next couple of days and I can’t wait for the action to get started. The majority of the action takes place on Tuesday and that’s where I’m focusing.
Fleetwood v Burton
Burton featured as my BetAlong selection last Friday and got the job done in record time. My primary pick was both teams to score and that bet landed after just four minutes. I also recommended a wager on Burton to win and BTTS which also landed comfortably, despite a ninetieth minute Morecambe goal making the tie look a lot closer than it was in reality (Final Score 3-2). Friday’s result now means that both teams have scored in each of Burton’s last five games. Four of those five games have ended with more than 2.5 goals being scored and it looks like that trend could continue tomorrow night.
Fleetwood lost their opening three league games, but have got back on track more recently. In their eight games since, they have only lost on one occasion (W3, D4, L1). While they are on a decent run, it’s the volume of goals that stick out to me. Saturday’s three nil victory over Crewe was the first time in their last six matches that both teams did not score. All six saw more than two goals scored, and those games yielded a whopping twenty-four goals (average 4 goals per game). That stat excludes their two most recent EFL Trophy ties which have also been goal-fests. If you include the EFL Trophy it brings the total goals to thirty-two and increases the average to 4.5 goals per game.
Given the above stats and both teams thirst for goals, it would be silly to get involved in the win-draw-win market. Both teams to score looks a safer bet at 3/4. More attractive to me is over 2.5 goals at evens and that’s the pick here.
Wigan v MK Dons
This is another tie where goals look to be the order of the day. Wigan are on a tremendous run of form winning seven of their last eight league matches (W7, D0, L1). Four of those eight games have contained more than 2 goals and they look a team brimming with confidence. If you narrow it down to their four most recent results, the two goal threshold is exceeded three times. I can’t see the Latics not scoring in this game.
MK Dons have been involved in a number of shootouts so far this season and an early goal could see fireworks. At evens over 2.5 goals looks like a great bet and is my selection. For the more adventurous bettors out there a Wigan win and over 2.5 goals at 12/5 looks tasty.
Sutton United v Swindon
This is probably the pick of the mid-week EFL schedule. Sutton (5th) welcome Swindon (6th) to the Borough Sports Ground and it looks a fascinating contest. Swindon featured in my bet last weekend and unfortunately let punters down. They took the lead late in the first half against strugglers Rochdale and should have kicked on to win the game. I mentioned in my article that their home form had been slightly suspect and that reared its ugly head in the second half. The Robbins away form has been much better, and although they face a tough test in this game, I fancy them to get on the scoresheet.
Sutton have been in great form and have surprised many this season (including me) with their performances. Their games in the main have not been littered with goals but they themselves have been finding the net on a consistent basis. United have scored in nine of their eleven league games this term and I’m backing them to score again tomorrow. Both teams to score at 4/5 is the bet for me in this one.
Crawley v Exeter
Exeter are another team that featured in Saturday’s bet. I recommended both teams to score and it landed with ease (after 22 minutes). The Grecians are becoming the draw specialists of the division having drawn eight games already this season, including their last four. All of those four most recent results have seen both teams score and I’m banking on that run continuing.
Crawley are a decent side, especially at Broadfield Stadium. The Reds have only been beaten once at home this season (W3, D2, L1). They aren’t exactly free scoring but they have enough about them to cause a shaky Exeter defense problems. I’m sticking with the goals angle and backing both teams to score at 4/5.
Fleetwood v Burton Albion – Over 2.5 Goals (Evens)
Wigan v MK Dons – Over 2.5 Goals (Evens)
Sutton United v Swindon – Both Teams To Score (4/5)
Crawley v Exeter – Both Teams To Score (4/5)
Above in an accumulator (12/1)