EFL Tips: Get Greedy With The Grecians In This 30/1 Acca!
Gaz shares a some long odds selections from The Championship, League One and League Two
Last weekend was another case of close but no cigar for this column. Frustratingly the high priced selections landed but the accumulator was knocked by the dreaded early kick-off. If you followed the advice and backed singles as well as the accumulator 2022 has got off to a profitable start but it would be nice to land a big one soon. Let’s hope for a change of luck this weekend.
Luton Town v Blackburn Rovers – Sat 29th Jan 15:00 GMT
I have to admit this leg has the potential to be a banana skin but I think the price justifies the risk. Luton (10th) have had a great season so far and are still in with an outside chance of bagging a playoff spot. The main reason they’re in that position is their home form (W6, D4, L3) and not many teams will look forward to a trip to Kenilworth Road. The Hatters have won three of their last four league matches and can’t fully be written off here.
Blackburn (2nd) though have been on an impressive run. Rovers have only lost once in their last twelve (W9, D2, L1) and need a win to keep pressure on leaders Fulham. If the Cottagers win their game versus Blackpool and Blackburn were to lose this game, it would be game over in the hunt for the league title. With that in mind the 21/10 available for a Rovers win is too good to ignore and adds a lot of juice to this acca.
Barnsley v Bournemouth – Sat 29th Jan 15:00 GMT
This is a massive game for both sides but for very different reasons. Barnsley (24th) are bottom of the table and quickly running out of time to save their Championship status. When you take into account that Derby had a 21 point deduction to contend with, it highlights just how bad the Tykes have been. Finding goals has been a real problem (17 scored in 26 matches) and the last thing they needed was a visit from one of the division’s top teams. Without a win since early November (W0, D3, L7) it’s hard to see things changing for the Yorkshiremen anytime soon.
Bournemouth (3rd) were flying earlier in the season but have had a wobble recently (W2, D0, L4) and as a result have lost pace with Fulham at the top of the table. The gap currently stands at 8 points meaning defeat in this game would likely spell the end of their title challenge. The Cherries now face challengers for the automatic promotion slot with both Blackburn and QPR putting the pressure on meaning they cannot afford to drop points in this one. A Bournemouth victory is 7/10 and that should be a winner but I’m backing them to win with over 1.5 goals (23/10). Barnsley need 3 points and will need to open up which should play into the hands of Scott Parker’s men.
Exeter v Hartlepool – Sat 29th Jan 15:00 GMT
If your a regular reader you don’t need me to tell you about Exeter being tough to beat at St. James’ Park but I’ll say it anyway. The Grecians have only lost twice at home in the league and they should pick up another 3 points on Saturday. Hartlepool come into this match off the back of two draws on the spin, so they aren’t in terrible form, but they really do struggle on their travels. Their form away from Victoria Park has been deplorable (W1, D2, L10) and makes the 4/5 available for a home win look like value.
Colchester v Swindon – Sat 29th Jan 15:00 GMT
Swindon (6th) were the team that cost us last week but I’m siding with them once more. For some reason the Robins can’t put a consistent run of results together at home but on their travels they have been great (W8, D2, L3). That away form has kept them clinging onto a playoff spot but with the challengers mounting they can’t afford to slip up. This looks like a good fixture for them coming up against Colchester (22nd) who have only won three times at home (W3, D3, L5) in the league. The U’s did pick up a good 0-3 victory last week against Salford which can be linked to the new manager bounce factor. They’d lost five straight prior to that and I’m not sure they can back that result up. A Swindon win at 13/8 is the bet for me.
Luton Town v Blackburn Rovers – Blackburn Win (21/10)
Barnsley v Bournemouth – Bournemouth Win & BTTS (23/20)
Exeter v Hartlepool – Exeter Win (4/5)
Colchester v Swindon – Swindon Win (13/8)
Above in an accumulator (30/1)