EFL Tips: Black Cats To Get This 15/1 Acca Off To Puurfect Start
Home form is key to this EFL acca as Gaz shares his best bets across The Championship, League One and League Two.
After the distraction of the international break and FA Cup there’s a full slate of English Football League action to look forward to this weekend. With plenty of games to choose from I’m hoping to get back to winning ways and add to the profit we’ve banked thus far.
Sunderland v Ipswich – Sat 20th Nov 15:00 GMT
This looks to be the game of the week in League One. Both of these sides had title aspirations at the start of the season, but things haven’t quite worked as expected. Sunderland (7th) will be particularly disappointed with how things have gone, however they still have time to turn things around. The Black Cats have two games in hand on most of their rivals and if they can win those they’d be very much back in the automatic promotion reckoning. The main problem for Sunderland has been their away form which has been very patchy (W3, D1, L4). At the Stadium Of Light they’ve been very good, dropping points on just one occasion (W6, D0, L1).
For Ipswich (9th) it’s been a very similar story. Their home form has been decent (W3, D5, L1), although nowhere near the level of Sunderland’s. Coincidentally the Tractor Boys have the exact same away record (W3, D1, L4) as their Northern rivals. With that in mind I’m going to keep it simple and back a home win in this one. Sunderland have only conceded four goals in their eight home matches and no visiting team has scored more than once at the Stadium Of Light. The Mackems are 13/10 to win here and that looks way too big.
Charlton v Plymouth – Sat 20th Nov 15:00 GMT
I mentioned above that Sunderland have only lost once at home this season and that defeat was inflicted by Charlton. The Addicks have been in great form since the recent change of manager and look a side on the up. They face a tough task on Saturday when welcoming table toppers Plymouth to the Valley. Argyle have only lost once in the league this season and you could argue the 9/5 on offer for an away victory is major value. I think the win market in this game is playing into the bookmakers hands though. This really is a flip of a coin in my opinion and the best bet looks to be in the goals market. Most of Plymouth’s matches turn into goal-fests and this should follow suit. In the Pilgrims 17 league games thus far there have been a total of 47 goals (average 2.7 GPG). Charlton are no mugs going forward and at 9/10 over 2.5 looks like a good bet.
Hartlepool v Forest Green – Sat 20th Nov 15:00 GMT
Hartlepool (10th) boast the best home record in League Two and they welcome Forest Green (1st) who are one of only two sides who are unbeaten on the road. If I was forced to pick a winner I’d probably side with Forest Green, but given Hartepool’s home record there isn’t much juice in the price of 11/10. Once again goals look to be the order of the day. The dilemma is whether to choose over 2.5 goals or look to the both teams to score market. Hartlepool have scored in every home league game and it’s likely they’ll continue that run. Forest Green have only failed to score once on their travels and that shutout came against a decent Exeter side who do well at home. At 20/23 both teams to score looks a sensible bet.
Oldham v Port Vale – Sat 20th Nov 15:00 GMT
Port Vale (2nd) have featured in this column quite a lot recently and for good reason. The Valiants have been in blistering form, losing just one of their last 10 games (W7, D2, L1). They face an Oldham (23rd) who’ve won just once at home this season and I can’t see any other result than an away victory. Vale have lots of attacking threats and have shown the ability to rack up a score. In fact in their last 8 games in all competitions Vale have scored 25 goals (average 3.125 GPG). Up against a Latics side who concede freely, the evens on offer looks like serious value. Port Vale win is the nap this weekend.
Sunderland v Ipswich – Sunderland Win (13/10)
Charlton v Plymouth – Over 2.5 Goals (9/10)
Hartlepool v Forest Green – Both Teams To Score (20/23)
Oldham v Port Vale – Port Vale Win (Evens)
Above in an Accumulator (15/1)