Champions League Tips: Supporting Cast To Star

Liam previews Wednesdays Champions League quarter finals tipping some surprise long odds selections

Borussia Dortmund (1) v Manchester City (2) – Wednesday 14 April

The first leg in Manchester was a strange sort of game. City had most of the ball but failed to create many clear cut chances and were fortunate to see a legitimate Jude Bellingham goal ruled out for a perceived foul on Ederson. Had the strike been allowed to stand it would have put a whole new complexion on this tie.

Domestically City have been dominant but the surprise reversal to Leeds at the weekend hints at some nerves creeping in. Their record in the latter stages of the Champions League is not reassuring either having never won an away quarter final. Despite his reputation as a Champions League mastermind, Guardiola has not won this competition in a decade and City did nothing last week to justify their position as tournament favourites. 

Dortmund will miss their famous Yellow Wall but I think they should still have enough to catch City out here. No visiting team has kept a clean sheet at the Westfalenstadion this season and Dortmund will surely score again. Erling Haaland is unsurprisingly the lowest odds of the home players to find the net. He was marked out of the game last week and if that happens again there could be great value to be found elsewhere in the Dortmund ranks. Jude Bellingham to score anytime @ 11/1 is the stand out bet. The young Englishman was within a whistle of breaking his Champions League duck last week and looks overpriced here for sure.

Liverpool (1) v Real Madrid (3) – Wednesday 14 April

It is hard to know what to make of Liverpool’s form lately. They have won nine but lost ten of their last 20 games. A run of six consecutive home defeats derailed their domestic season and looks to have severally dented their confidence. A comfortable win against an obliging Arsenal gave Klopp’s men a confidence boost before the first leg but that high was short lived.

In Madrid Liverpool were comprehensively outplayed looking disorganised at best and out of their depth at worst. Zidane’s men knew what to expect and nullified the threat from wide areas limiting the away side to just a solitary shot on goal. Fortunately for the Reds, that shot went in. With a valuable away goal Liverpool can still qualify although it’s a longshot, and odds of 3/1 offers little value. A case can be made for Liverpool  based on their history of great Champions League comebacks. However, they have not beaten a well structured opponent in quite some time.

With the home side chasing a two goal deficit I’m sure we’ll see Madrid set up to counter attack. Long balls over the top proved highly effective last week, and the majority of them were sent towards Vinicius Junior. The Brazilian was a constant goal threat and he should get plenty of chances at Anfield. Vinicius Junior 2+ Shots On Target @ 5/1 offers value and is the bet here.

SRD Selections:

Jude Bellingham to Score Anytime @ 11/1

Vinicius Junior 2+ Shots On Target @ 5/1