Beano’s Bet Builder: A High Scoring AFC West Clash On MNF

Beano provides his best bets for the Monday Night Football matchup between the Raiders and Chargers at SoFi Stadium.

Week 4 wraps up with a very intriguing clash between the Raiders and Chargers, Albeit early in the season its a crucial game for both as the team that wins keeps hold of a 2 game lead from the current AFC Champions (Kansas City Chiefs). Many still believe the Chiefs will find their way to the top of division before Week 18, but they have given themselves an uphill battle.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Las Vegas Raiders have been a great story so far this season. They’re 3-0 and on the surface, it looks like they have beaten some quality opponents. Look a little deeper though and you can see that the form of their wins has taken a few hits in recent weeks.

The Week 1 win over the Baltimore Ravens was legit, but to be fair the game could have gone either way late on. The Ravens had their chances to win in overtime before Derek Carr finally got the Raiders over the line. The win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 2 doesn’t look nearly as impressive as it did at the time. Since that game the Steelers have gone on to lose to the Bengals and again last night to the Packers in Green Bay.

Last week’s overtime win over a crippled Miami Dolphins team leads us to ask the question: “Is the Raiders’ defense average, or terrible which is being masked by a high scoring offence? They’re a top-ten unit against the run, but watching Jacoby Brissett move the ball up and down the field against them raises long term concerns, especially coming up against an explosive Chargers team.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers under Herbert in his 2nd year can score at will. They hung 20 points on the Washington Football Team in Week 1 and it should have been more. Against the Dallas Cowboys they had 2 touchdowns called back because of penalties which were considered “touch and go” decisions.

Last week they scored 30 points against the Chiefs at Arrowhead, which is about what I would expect out of them moving forward. Mike Williams is becoming a great compliment to Keenan Allen and he will get his fair share of one-on-one looks. They’ve also established a consistent run game with Ekeler proving again he’s a consistent number 1 RB in the league.

Verdict

I find this game a tough one to call. It seems like Chargers should have enough to win this match-up, but that thinking its tapered by how the Raiders are playing for coach John Gruden. Vegas have a real togetherness and will be confident they can pull off the upset. The handicap of 3 points shows the lack of confidence from the bookies in terms of who they think wins. I can see it going down to a late drive similar to previous years where the result has flipped flopped. With that in mind I’m avoiding a bet on the win market. My preference is to just the total point over and enjoy both QB’s put up the yards (and hopefully TD’s) in this one.

SRD Selections

Over 51.5 Points

Derek Carr over 282.5 yards

Justin Herbert over 302.5 yards

Bet Builder pays 7/2